Gujarat, numbers

The vagaries of the first-past-the-poll system in India make sure that we often over- or under-estimate the meaning of election results going strictly by who’s won how many seats. But if you go by factors such as vote share and seat-by-seat break-up, you will see the complexity of any election result. Once the results are out, the psephologist disappears. But that’s when he should be there.

Given below is a break-up of 33 of Gujarat’s constituencies, as circulated by an activist. Makes for interesting observations.

 

  CONSTITUENCY

BJP VOTE

CONGRESS VOTE

DIFFERENCE

BSP

IND

1 RAJPIPLA

37722

37091

631

2807

 

2 MANDAL

34843

34166

677

 

3818

3 KHAMBHALIA

40358

39560

798

 

4275

4 KANKREJ

37930

37090

840

28934

 

5 JAMNAGAR

33021

31941

1080

 

1098

6 KADI

65835

64508

1327

 

3848

7 GADHADA

50579

49152

1427

1478

 

8 SURAT CITY

39607

37908

1699

 

RJD-2584

9 ANAND

63745

61975

1770

 

12134

10 KALOL

27565

25255

1884

 

1427+1016

11 CHIKHLI

59471

57204

2267

2708

 

12 SIDHPUR

52610

50181

2429

 

2694

13 MANGROL

48256

45625

2631

3389

2782

14 BOTAD

69662

66474

3188

2134

3188

15 VIRAMGAM

47643

44327

3316

3286

3364

16 MANSA

44381

41011

3370

 

10478

17 GANDHINAGAR

81864

78116

3748

1766

5128

18 RAKHIAL

53993

50048

3945

1395

 

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